Most environmental policy studies stop at
"Did it work there?"
I ask a different question:
"What physical and social conditions made it work, and where else do those conditions exist?"
The Problem
Policies fail when deployed in the wrong environments.
What Policy Sees
GDP, yields, prices, enrollment, emissions.
What Matters
Soil moisture, vegetation stress, heat, water flow.
My research uses three tools:
1
Satellites
Direct observation of land, climate, infrastructure, and human activity
2
Causal Inference
Isolate what would have happened without the policy
3
Bayesian Decision Theory
Choose policies under uncertainty across space